Future Scenarios of Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) Based on a CA-Markov Simulation Model: Case of a Mediterranean Watershed in Morocco

Modeling of land use and cover (LULC) is a very important tool, particularly in the agricultural field: it allows us to know potential changes area future consider developments order prevent probable risks. The idea give representation situations based on certain assumptions. objective this study make predictions watershed “9 April 1947”, years 2028, 2038 2050. Then, maps obtained with climate will be integrated into an agro-hydrological model water yield, sediment yield balance studied by 2050.The scenarios were created using CA-Markov forecasting model. results simulation LULC considered satisfactory, as shown values from kappa indices for agreement (κstandard) = 0.73, lack information (κno) 0.76, location at grid cell level (κlocation) 0.80. Future modeled indicate decrease areas wetlands, both which can seen warning crop loss. There is, other hand, increase forest that could advantage biodiversity fauna flora 1947” watershed.